Scenario Change Week 3
Please answer three questions below ..
Please see support sheet for the week.
Decisions and Reflection (500 word).
1. In the scenario, the council have had a policy of providing base load tip truck capability. Is this still the right policy for your decisions and to optimize resources?
2. In your scenario, identify risks and opportunities?
3. Did your initial scenario decision lead to a white elephant or bottleneck?.
It is now 2021, and the scenario environment has changed as summarised below:
The cost of diesel has increased to $ 1.15 per litre
The outsource factor has reduced to 1.2 reflecting an easing of prices associated with cooling economic activity
Federal funds have been successfully sources meaning the scope of the major capital works programs in 2020 and 2021 has been increased to CAPEX demands of 26,000 and 24,000 hours respectively. The cost model needs to be adjusted accordingly.
Notes affecting specific choices below:
One of the reasons for supporting the Kenworth selection was that dog trailers could be purchased to increase capacity, and or/ reduce unit costs. Given the increasing capital works for next year, a decision needs to be made regarding the purchase of dog trailers this year to be ready for next year.
One of the reasons for supporting the Freightliner selection was that they could be upgraded and dog trailers could be purchased to increase capacity, and or/ reduce unit costs. Given the increasing capital works for next year, a decision needs to be made regarding the truck upgrade and purchase of dog trailers this year to be ready for next year.
Fortunately, a local spares dealer for Sinotruk has been established, meaning that while there are still reliability issues, the spares waiting timeframe has been dramatically reduced to overnight for most parts. The workshop manager has advised that they are effectively only 1 “truck down” against the reliability of the other options.
Last years fleet upgrade went well, completed on time and on budget, however the identified that the scope of the scheduled 2020 upgrade will need to be increased, resulting in a budget increase for the second upgrade from $ 50,000 per truck to $ 80,000 per truck.